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NFL Week 7 betting action, bad beats from Las Vegas

by fanshotz

NFL Week 7 betting action, bad beats from Las Vegas


Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season.

Top matchups include the Raiders hosting the Houston Texans, the Atlanta Falcons at the Cincinnati Bengals, the Kansas City Chiefs at the San Francisco 49ers and the Pittsburgh Steelers visiting the Miami Dolphins in the Sunday night game.

Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.

UPDATES

2:42 p.m.: HALFTIME: Jets 10, Broncos 9. First-half winners: Jets -½, over 17½. Kicker Greg Zuerlein hit from 45 yards as time expired in the half to give the Jets the cover and send the total over.

2:39 p.m.: The Texans take the opening drive of the second half and convert a Ka’imi Fairbairn field goal to take a 13-10 lead. The Raiders are -160 on the live line (Texans +130), total 42½.

2:32 p.m.: Mike Williams scores on a 9-yard pass from Justin Herbert and the Chargers are back in the game, trailing the Seahawks 17-14 midway through the second quarter. The Chargers are -160 on the live line (Seahawks +130), total 68½.

2:28 p.m.: Second-half line: Raiders -3, total 23.

2:23 p.m.: Mecole Hardman scores his second touchdown, this one a 25-yard run to give the Chiefs a 14-13 lead over the 49ers midway through the second quarter. The Chiefs are -140 on the live line (49ers +110), total 58½.

2:20 p.m.: HALFTIME: Raiders 10, Texans 10. First-half winners: Texans +4, under 22½. The Raiders tied the score on a late Derek Carr-to-Mack Hollins touchdown pass, but they were unable to cover.

2:16 p.m.: The Raiders offense finally wakes up, as Derek Carr squeezes a ball between the defenders to Mack Hollins for the touchdown strike. It’s tied 10-10 at Allegiant Stadium with 25 seconds left until halftime. The Raiders are -200 on the live line (Texans +165), total 42½.

2:04 p.m.: The Raiders finally get a third-down stop, but Ka’imi Fairbairn connects from 55 yards out and the Texans lead the Raiders 10-3 with 4:57 left in the second quarter. The Raiders are -105 on the live line (Texans -125), total 41½.

2:00 p.m.: Time of possession is starting to favor the Texans. It feels like the Raiders defense has been on the field a lot this half.

1:46 p.m.: Davis Mills hangs in the pocket and finds Chris Moore for a 13-yard score. The Texans lead the Raiders 7-3 with 11:17 left in the second quarter. The Raiders are -145 on the live line (Texans +115), total 43½.

1:41 p.m.: Ray-Ray McCloud III makes a diving grab in the end zone of a Jimmy Garoppolo wounded quail, and the 49ers lead the Chiefs 10-0 in game that closed as a pick ’em. The 49ers are -200 on the live line (Chiefs +165), total 52½.

1:39 p.m.: END OF THE FIRST QUARTER. Raiders 3, Texans 0. The Raiders are -250 on the live line (Texans +200), total 40½.

1:32 p.m.: FINAL: Giants 23, Jaguars 17. Daniel Jones scored on a 1-yard run with 5:31 remaining in the fourth quarter to help the 6-1 Giants spring the upset as 3½-point underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 44 as the Jaguars were held out of the end zone on the final play.

1:22 p.m.: FINAL: Commanders 23, Packers 21. Taylor Heinicke threw two touchdowns, and the Commanders rallied from a first-half deficit to win outright as 4-point underdogs. The game went over the total of 41½ on Aaron Jones’ spectacular touchdown catch with 3:26 remaining in the fourth quarter.

1:16 p.m.: The Raiders strike first on Daniel Carlson’s field goal and lead the Texans 3-0 in the first quarter. The Raiders are -7½ (-115) on the live line (Texans -115), total 44½.

1:04 p.m.: Aaron Jones with a great catch and the Packers take advantage of three penalties by the Commanders to climb within two points with 3:26 remaining in the fourth quarter. Commanders 23, Packers 21, and the over also is in. The Commanders are -220 on the live line (Packers +180).

1:03 p.m.: Here are some of the props to track for this afternoon’s Raiders-Texans game:

Team totals: Raiders 26½ (over -120), Texans 17½ (over -120).

Alternate point spreads: Raiders +3½ (-500), -14½ (+275); Texans -3½ (+400), +14½ (-335).

General props: First score will be a touchdown (yes -160/no +140); largest lead 14½ points (over -120); longest TD 39½ yards; will there be a made field goal in the first quarter (yes Even/no -120); will the game go to overtime (yes +1,200/no -3,000); will there be a defensive or special teams TD (yes +260/no -310); will there be a successful 2-point conversion (yes +350/no -420); will both teams make 33-yard or longer field goals (yes +110/no -130); will there be a lead change in the fourth quarter (yes +350/no -420); will either team score three straight times (yes -220/no +190); will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half (yes -330/no +270); will the game be tied again after 0-0 (yes +105/no -125).

Raiders props: Derek Carr 22½ completions (over -120), 34½ attempts, 250½ passing yards, longest completion 37½ yards, 1½ TD passes (over -120), will throw an interception (yes Even/no -120); Josh Jacobs 84½ rushing yards; Davante Adams 83½ receiving yards, 6½ receptions, will score a TD (yes/no -110); Hunter Renfrow 42½ receiving yards; Daniel Carlson 7½ kicking points (over -120).

Texans props: Davis Mills 21½ completions, 34½ attempts, 229½ passing yards, longest completion 35½ yards, 1½ TD passes (under -170), will throw an interception (yes -120/no Even); Dameon Pierce 70½ rushing yards, will score a TD (yes +120/no -140); Brandin Cooks 58½ receiving yards, 4½ receptions (over -150); Nico Collins 42½ receiving yards; Ka’imi Fairbairn 6½ kicking points (under -120).

1:02 p.m.: The afternoon schedule:

— Jets (-1½, 36½, -125) at Broncos (+105), 1:05 p.m.

— Texans (+260) at Raiders (-7, 46, -310), 1:05 p.m.

— Chiefs (Pick, 49, -110) at 49ers (-110), 1:25 p.m.

— Seahawks (+195) at Chargers (-4½, 51, -230), 1:25 p.m.

12:59 p.m.: FINAL: Titans 19, Colts 10. The Titans won and covered as 2½-point favorites despite failing to score a touchdown on offense. The game stayed under the total of 43.

12:57 p.m.: FINAL: Ravens 23, Browns 20. Gus Edwards had two rushing touchdowns, and the Ravens blocked a 60-yard field-goal try with 1:59 remaining to win straight up. Baltimore didn’t cover as 6½-point favorites. The game stayed under the total of 46½.

12:52 p.m.: The Packers are a complete mess.

12:51 p.m.: FINAL: Bengals 35, Falcons 17. Joe Burrow threw for nearly 500 yards, and the Bengals covered as 6½-point favorites. The Falcons were the NFL’s lone unbeaten team against the spread coming in. The game sailed over the total of 47½.

12:48 p.m.: FINAL: Cowboys 24, Lions 6. Ezekiel Elliott scored two second-half touchdowns, and the Cowboys pulled away to cover as 7-point favorites. The game stayed well under the total of 49½.

12:46 p.m.: FINAL: Panthers 21, Buccaneers 3. P.J. Walker tossed two touchdowns, and the Panthers pulled the upset as 13-point underdogs to the delight of sportsbooks everywhere. The game stayed under the total of 38½.

12:32 p.m.: Ezekiel Elliott adds his second touchdown run and the Cowboys are covering, ahead 17-6 over the Lions late in the fourth quarter.

12:24 p.m.: Kareem Hunt skips into the end zone and the Browns are covering, trailing 23-20 at the Ravens with nine minutes to play in the fourth quarter. The Ravens are -400 on the live line (Browns +300), total 50½.

12:12 p.m.: The sportsbooks have to love this. Panthers 14, Buccaneers 0, entering the fourth quarter. The Panthers are -230 on the live line (Buccaneers +185), total 29½.

12:06 p.m.: Terry McLaurin hauls in the deep ball from Taylor Heinicke, and the Commanders have come all the way back to lead the Packers 17-14 with 11:49 left in the third quarter. The Commanders are -110 on the live line (Packers -120), total 49½.

12:01 p.m.: Trevor Lawrence scores on a 1-yard plunge, but the extra point is no good. The Jaguars lead the Giants 17-13 with 11:45 to go in the third quarter. The Jaguars are -260 on the live line (Giants +210), total 50½.

11:56 a.m.: Parris Campbell caps a 12-play drive with a 4-yard touchdown reception and the Colts now trail the Titans 13-7 with 4:07 left in the third quarter. The Titans are -380 on the live line (Colts +290), total 33½.

11:51 a.m.: Second-half line: Packers -1, total 20½.

11:49 a.m.: HALFTIME: Packers 14, Commanders 10. First-half winners: Packers -3, over 20½. Commanders kicker Joey Slye missed a 47-yard field-goal attempt with 2:48 left until halftime that would have given Washington the cover.

11:45 a.m.: The Cowboys are -450 on the live line (Lions +340), total 34½.

11:42 a.m.: Second-half line: Jaguars -3, total 22½.

11:39 a.m.: HALFTIME: Giants 13, Jaguars 11. First-half winners: Giants +2½, over 21. Giants kicker Graham Gano booted a 33-yard field goal with 28 seconds remaining to send the total over.

11:36 a.m.: Updated second-half line: Bengals -½, total 24.

11:29 a.m.: Second-half line: Bengals -½, total 23½.

11:27 a.m.: HALFTIME: Bengals 28, Falcons 17. First-half winners: Bengals -3½, over 23½. Joe Burrow threw three touchdowns in the first half as the Bengals sent the first-half total over by themselves.

11:25 a.m.: Second-half line: Ravens -3, total 23½.

11:24 a.m.: Second-half line: Colts -2½, total 21.

11:23 a.m.: Second-half line: Cowboys -5½, total 24½.

11:22 a.m.: HALFTIME: Ravens 13, Browns 10. First-half winners: Browns +3½, under 23½. Gus Edwards scored on a 7-yard touchdown run with 1:57 remaining to put the Ravens on top, but it wasn’t enough for the cover or to send the total over the hook.

11:20 a.m.: HALFTIME: Titans 13, Colts 0. First-half winners: Titans -1, under 21. The Titans defense returned an interception for a touchdown and has blanked Indianapolis.

11:19 a.m.: HALFTIME: Lions 6, Cowboys 3. First-half winners: Lions +4, under 24½. Dak Prescott is back for Dallas, but neither team’s offense has done much thus far.

11:15 a.m.: Second-half line: Buccaneers -9, total 20.

11:11 a.m.: HALFTIME: Panthers 7, Buccaneers 0. First-half winners: Panthers +7, under 20. Tom Brady is old. The Buccaneers defense can’t save him every week.

11:05 a.m.: Tyler Allgeier leaps over the pile for a 1-yard touchdown run and the first-half over cashes in Cincinnati. The Bengals lead the Falcons 21-7. The Bengals are -1800 on the live line (Falcons +900), total 55½.

10:51 a.m.: Buccaneers bettors are starting to reach for the Tums. It’s 0-0 in Carolina with less than five minutes left until halftime. Tampa Bay closed as a 13-point favorite and is -500 on the live line (Panthers +375), total 22½. Hahaha, 22½ with Tom Brady on the field. Times have changed.

10:46 a.m.: Pick six for the Packers, who now lead 14-3 in Washington with 13:23 remaining in the second quarter. The Packers are -800 on the live line (Commanders +525), total 46½.

10:42 a.m.: It’s a rout in southern Ohio. The Bengals lead 21-0 early in the second quarter after Joe Burrow’s second touchdown pass, this time to Ja’Marr Chase. The Bengals are -3000 on the live line (Falcons +1200), total 55½.

10:30 a.m.: Former UNLV quarterback Armani Rogers lined up behind center for the Commanders. Fun.

10:25 a.m.: The Bengals extend the lead to 14-0 on a 1-yard plunge by Joe Mixon, and the Falcons’ unbeaten spread streak appears to be in jeopardy early on. The Bengals are -1100 on the live line (Falcons +650), total 52½.

10:19 a.m.: The Jaguars respond with a 7-yard touchdown run by Travis Etienne Jr., who adds the two-point conversion for an 8-7 lead. It’s shaping up to be a fun one in Jacksonville. The Jaguars are -210 on the live line (Giants +170), total 53½.

10:12 a.m.: The underdog Giants are off to a quick start in Jacksonville. Darius Slayton caught a 32-yard touchdown pass from Daniel Jones for a 7-0 lead. The Giants are -110 on the live line (Jaguars -120), total 48½.

10:06 a.m.: The Bengals are the first team on the scoreboard this morning. Joe Burrow hits Tyler Boyd for a 60-yard scoring strike. The Bengals are -450 on the live line (Falcons +340), total 52½.

9:55 a.m.: More morning line movement:

Lions-Cowboys total from 49 to 49½

Giants-Jaguars total from 43½ to 44

Falcons-Bengals total from 47½ to 48 to 47½

Buccaneers-Panthers total from 39½ to 38½

9:40 a.m.: The view from Station Casinos.

9:38 a.m.: Let ’er Ryp.

9:34 a.m.: Most bet Overs and Unders in Week 7 @BetMGM

Overs

1. Ravens-Browns 45½

2. Titans-Colts 42

3. Cowboys-Lions 49

Unders

1. Broncos-Jets 36½

2. Buccaneers-Panthers 39½

3. Giants-Jaguars 43

Most bet props (tickets) Week 7 @BetMGM

— Tony Pollard over 35½ rushing yards (-115)

— Kenneth Walker over 70½ rushing yards (-115)

— Brian Robinson Jr. under 48½ rushing yards (-110)

9:31 a.m.: Public teams in Week 7 @BetMGM:

— 82 percent of bets on Seahawks +5

— 77 percent on Bucs -13

— 75 percent on Chiefs -1½

— 71 percent on Jets -1½

— 67 percent on Patriots -8

— 66 percent on Titans -2½

— 65 percent on Ravens -6½

— 62 percent on Giants +3

Note from BetMGM’s John Ewing: “Teams getting 60 percent or more of bets this season are 15-27 (36 percent) ATS.”

9:30 a.m.: The 3 most-bet teams today @BetMGM are:

1. Chiefs -1½

2. Giants +3

3. Jets -1½

9:26 a.m.: The view from Caesars Sportsbook.

9 a.m.: Notable line movement this morning:

— Falcons-Bengals total from 47½ to 48

— Browns-Ravens total from 46 to 46½

— Jets from -1½ to -2

— Dolphins from -7 to -7½

The Jets moved from 1-point underdogs to favorites Saturday when Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson was ruled out with a hamstring injury.

8:55 a.m.: Here is today’s full schedule:

— Lions (+250) at Cowboys (-7, 49, -300), 10 a.m.

— Giants (+150) at Jaguars (-3 -120, 43½, -170), 10 a.m.

— Colts (+120) at Titans (-2½, 43, -140), 10 a.m.

— Falcons (+240) at Bengals (-6½, 48, -280), 10 a.m.

— Browns (+240) at Ravens (-6, 46½, -280), 10 a.m.

— Buccaneers (-13, 39½, -750) at Panthers (+525), 10 a.m.

— Packers (-4, 41½, -200) at Commanders (+175), 10 a.m.

— Jets (-2, 36½, -135) at Broncos (+115), 1:05 p.m.

— Texans (+250) at Raiders (-7, 46, -300), 1:05 p.m.

— Chiefs (-1, 49, -120) at 49ers (Even), 1:25 p.m.

— Seahawks (+185) at Chargers (-4½, 51, -215), 1:25 p.m.

— Steelers (+290) at Dolphins (-7½, 44½, -350) 5:20 p.m.

Contact David Schoen at [email protected] or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.





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