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Welcome to Week 4 of the NFL season.
Top matchups include the Raiders hosting the Denver Broncos, the Buffalo Bills at the Baltimore Ravens, the New England Patriots at the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Sunday night game.
Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.
UPDATES
2:00 p.m.: END OF THE FIRST QUARTER. Broncos 7, Raiders 3. The Raiders are -120 on the live line (Broncos -110), total 47½.
1:52 p.m.: The Raiders can’t stop anyone in the red zone. This time it’s Courtland Sutton breaking free to haul in the 5-yard touchdown reception from Russell Wilson. The Broncos lead 7-3 with 2:45 left in the first quarter and are -170 on the live line (Raiders +140), total 48½.
1:49 p.m.: The Broncos were more interesting when they had a barefoot kicker.
1:35 p.m.: More red-zone struggles for Derek Carr and the Raiders, who settle for a Daniel Carlson field goal from 26 yards out. The Raiders lead the Broncos 3-0 after the opening drive. The Raiders are -170 on the live line (Broncos +140), total 44½.
1:29 p.m.: FINAL: Seahawks 48, Lions 45. Rashaad Penny ran for 151 yards and two second-half touchdowns to help the Seahawks get the straight-up win as 3½-point underdogs. Lions QB Jared Goff had four TD passes, as the game soared over the total of 48½.
1:14 p.m.: FINAL: Jets 24, Steelers 20. Rookie running back Breece Hall scored on a 2-yard run with 16 seconds remaining, and the Jets grabbed the outright win as 3-point underdogs. The game went over the total of 41.
1:12 p.m.: FINAL: Cowboys 25, Commanders 10. Cooper Rush tossed two touchdowns, and the Cowboys covered as 3-point favorites. The game stayed under the total of 41½.
1:08 p.m.: FINAL: Bills 23, Ravens 20. Tyler Bass made a 21-yard field goal as time expired, and the Bills rallied from a 17-point hole to get the win and push as -3 favorites. The game stayed under the total of 50½.
1:06 p.m.: FINAL: Eagles 29, Jaguars 21. Miles Sanders ran for 134 yards and two touchdowns, and the Eagles overcame an early deficit to cover as 6½-point favorites. The game went over the total of 44.
1:04 p.m.: Here are the props we’ll be tracking for this afternoon’s Raiders-Broncos game:
Team totals: Raiders 23½ (-110), Broncos 21½ (over -120).
Alternate point spreads: Raiders -7½ (+200), +3½ (-240); Broncos +7½ (-240), -3½ (+200).
General props: First score will be a touchdown (yes -160/no +140); largest lead 14½ points (under -130); longest TD 38½ yards; will there be a made field goal in the first quarter (yes +110/no -130); will the game go to overtime (yes +1,000/no -2,000); will there be a defensive or special teams TD (yes +270/no -330); will there be a successful 2-point conversion (yes +330/no -400); will both teams make 33-yard or longer field goals (yes +110/no -130); will there be a lead change in the fourth quarter (yes +270/no -330); will either team score three straight times (yes -180/no +160); will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half (yes -310/no +260); will the game be tied again after 0-0 (yes +110/no -130).
Raiders props: Derek Carr 24½ completions (over -120), 36½ attempts, 269½ passing yards, longest completion 37½ yards, 1½ TD passes (over -135), will throw an interception (yes Even/no -120); Josh Jacobs 66½ rushing yards, will score a TD (yes +110/no -130); Davante Adams 87½ receiving yards, 6½ receptions (over -150), will score a TD (yes/no -110); Darren Waller 50½ receiving yards; Daniel Carlson 6½ kicking points (over -125).
Broncos props: Russell Wilson 21½ completions (under -120), 32½ attempts, 239½ passing yards, longest completion 36½ yards, 1½ TD passes (under -130), will throw an interception (yes +110/no -130); Javonte Williams 52½ rushing yards; Courtland Sutton 70½ receiving yards, will score a TD (yes +160/no -180); Jerry Jeudy 44½ receiving yards; Brandon McManus 6½ kicking points (over -115).
1:03 p.m.: FINAL: Chargers 34, Texans 24. Austin Ekeler hauled in a 14-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Justin Herbert with 2:28 remaining in the fourth qurter for the cover as 6-point favorites. The game easily went over the total of 45½.
12:59 p.m.: FINAL: Giants 20, Bears 12. Quarterback Daniel Jones rushed for two touchdowns to help the Giants cover as 3-point favorites. The game went under the total of 39.
12:57 p.m.: The Lions are becoming must-see TV.
12:51 p.m.: FINAL: Titans 24, Colts 17. Ryan Tannehill threw two touchdowns, and the underdog Titans held on for the outright win after leading by as many as 21 points. The total stayed under 43½.
12:50 p.m.: FINAL: Falcons 23, Browns 20. Younghoe Koo made a 45-yard field goal with 2:28 left in the fourth quarter, and the Falcons earned the outright win as 1-point underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 48½.
12:45 p.m.: Here is this afternoon’s schedule:
— Cardinals (Even) at Panthers (-1, 44, -120), 1:05 p.m.
— Broncos (+125) at Raiders (-2½, 45½, -145), 1:25 p.m.
— Patriots (+375) at Packers (-9½, 40, -450), 1:25 p.m.
12:38 p.m.: A lot of steam on the Buccaneers at Westgate SuperBook. They are -2 against the Chiefs in the Sunday night game.
12:35 p.m.: The Texans are creeping in the backdoor and are now covering against the Chargers. Los Angeles leads 27-24 midway through the fourth quarter. The Chargers are -400 on the live line (Texans +300), total 57½.
12:32 p.m.: Kenny Pickett is better than a Primanti Bros. sandwich. He runs for his second touchdown to extend the Steelers’ lead to 20-10 early in the fourth quarter. The Steelers are -1200 on the live line (Jets +700), total 39½.
12:27 p.m.: A big bet on the Patriots was made public.
A bettor in Nevada just placed $120,000 on the Patriots +10.5 (-120)
Would win: $100,000 💼 pic.twitter.com/cc8e2Y1kmy
— Caesars Sportsbook (@CaesarsSports) October 2, 2022
12:14 p.m.: The Bills are back from the dead. It’s 20-20 in Baltimore after a Josh Allen touchdown run with 3:26 remaining in the third quarter. The Bills are -140 on the live line (Ravens +110), total 56½.
12:12 p.m.: The Steelers lead.
KENNY PICKETT QB SNEAK TUDDY! pic.twitter.com/2gM8PgKbuU
— BetMGM 🦁 (@BetMGM) October 2, 2022
12:07 p.m.: Cash over 48½ in the Seahawks-Lions game. The Seahawks lead 31-23 midway through the third quarter after a Jamaal Williams 51-yard touchdown run and two-point conversion for Detroit. The Seahawks are -280 on the live line (Lions +225), total 71½.
12:03 p.m.: Line movements in the later games:
— Panthers from Pick to -1
— Buccaneers from 1 to 1½
12:00 p.m.: Kenny Pickett is intercepted. Sad trombone.
11:58 a.m.: It’s Kenny Pickett time in Pittsburgh. The Steelers trail 10-6 but are -115 on the live line (Jets -115), total 35½.
11:40 a.m.: Second-half line: Steelers -1½, total 20.
11:39 a.m.: Second-half line: Lions -4½, total 26½.
11:37 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jets 10, Steelers 6. First-half winners: Jets +2½, under 20.
11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Chargers -3½, total 21.
11:35 a.m.: Second-half line: Colts -4, total 22.
11:34 a.m.: Second-half line: Giants -½, total 19½.
11:33 a.m.: HALFTIME: Seahawks 24, Lions 15. First-half winners: Seahawks +3, over 23½.
11:32 a.m.: HALFTIME: Titans 24, Colts 10. First-half winners: Titans +3, over 21.
11:31 a.m.: HALFTIME: Giants 14, Bears 9. First-half winners: Giants -1½, over 19. Daniel Jones ran for his second touchdown with 5:17 remaining, and the extra point sent the total over.
11:31 a.m.: HALFTIME: Chargers 27, Texans 7. First-half winners: Chargers -3½, over 22.
11:30 a.m.: Second-half line: Bills -4, total 26.
11:28 a.m.: Second-half line: Eagles -2, total 23.
11:27 a.m.: HALFTIME: Ravens 20, Bills 10. First-half winners: Ravens +2½, over 24½. Josh Allen hit Isaiah McKenzie on a 4-yard touchdown pass with nine seconds left in the second quarter to send the total over.
11:26 a.m.: HALFTIME: Eagles 20, Jaguars 14. First-half winners: Eagles -3½, over 22. Kenneth Gainwell scored on a 10-yard run with 26 seconds left in the second quarter to give the Eagles the cover after trailing most of the half.
11:25 a.m.: Second-half line: Cowboys -½, total 20
11:22 a.m.: HALFTIME: Cowboys 12, Commanders 7. First-half winners: Cowboys -2, under 20. The Cowboys took the lead with 1:04 left until halftime on a Michael Gallup touchdown reception from Cooper Rush, but the extra point was blocked to keep the total under.
11:18 a.m.: That blocked extra point in Dallas is pretty big for the first-half total.
11:14 a.m.: Second-half line: Falcons -1, total 24.
11:11 a.m.: HALFTIME: Falcons 10, Browns 10. First-half winners: Falcons +½, under 24. The Falcons came up with a late defensive stand and forced a field goal to keep the total under.
10:49 a.m.: That escalated quickly. Chargers 14, Texans 0 with 11:18 left in the second quarter. The Chargers are -3000 on the live line (Texans +1200), total 45½.
10:42 a.m.: Mike Tomlin’s streak of finishing at .500 or above is in jeopardy. The Steelers stink. They trail the Jets 10-0 after a Zach Wilson TD reception on a trick play. The Jets are -250 on the live line (Steelers +200), total 39½.
10:37 a.m.: The Jaguars were the largest underdog on the board (+6½). They lead the Eagles 14-0 at the end of the first quarter. Jacksonville is -260 on the live line (Eagles +210), total 48½.
10:31 a.m.: J.K. Dobbins plows in for his second rushing touchdown of the first quarter for a 14-3 lead. The Bills no longer look like the juggernaut from Week 1. The Ravens are -250 on the live line (Bills +200), total 56½.
10:27 a.m.: Early upset watch in Detroit. Geno Smith scores on the quarterback draw and the underdog Seahawks are ahead 14-6 on the Lions with 4:35 left in the first quarter. The Seahawks are -140 on the live line (Lions +110), total 61½.
10:15 a.m.: The Commanders black uniforms get a 5.5. That nameplate looks hideous and the helmets are a miss, too.
10:06 a.m.: J.K. Dobbins finds the end zone to give the underdog Ravens a quick 7-0 lead over the Bills. Baltimore is -145 on the live line (Bills +115), total 55½.
9:50 a.m.: The secret is out on Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson printing money.
There have been 434 bets placed at @CaesarsSports on Daniel Carlson’s made field goals prop (1.5). All of them are on the over.
The only other player prop that has gotten even 100 bets with all action on one side is Lamar Jackson TD passes (1.5) with all 108 bets on the over.
— Max Meyer (@TheMaxMeyer) October 2, 2022
9:42 a.m.: More line movement this morning:
— Bills-Ravens total from 50 to 50½
— Bears-Giants total from 38½ to 39½ to 39
— Titans-Colts total from 43 to 43½
— Chargers-Texans total from 45 to 45½
— Panthers from Pick to -1 to Pick
9:36 a.m.: FINAL: Vikings 28, Saints 25. Double doink! Saints kicker Wil Lutz’s 61-yard field goal attempt bounced off the upright, then the crossbar, and stayed out to give the Vikings the win. But a missed extra point by the Vikings meant the Saints covered +4. What a finish. The game went over the total of 42.
9:33 a.m.: It’s (not) always sunny in Philadelphia.
Not optimal. #Eagles #Jaguars pic.twitter.com/6o35whw3p0
— John McMullen (@JFMcMullen) October 2, 2022
9:29 a.m.: Greg Joseph answers with a 47-yard field goal to put the Vikings back on top 28-25 with 24 seconds remaining in London. That missed extra point is looming large for -4, however. The Vikings are -1800 on the live line (Saints +900).
9:26 a.m.: Big bets at Caesars Sportsbook in New Jersey.
A bettor in New Jersey is all in on Washington today 👀
$100,000 Commanders +3 (+100)
$100,000 Commanders ML (+143)Would win a combined $243,000 💰 pic.twitter.com/drkLQ3MI9b
— Caesars Sportsbook (@CaesarsSports) October 2, 2022
9:24 a.m.: Most bet player props for Sunday Week 4 @BetMGM
— Josh Allen under 1½ passing TDs (+150)
— Austin Ekeler over 55½ rushing yards (-115)
— Jamaal Williams over 16½5 rushing attempts (-135)
9:21 a.m.: Saints kicker Wil Lutz bangs home a 60-yard field goal to tie the score at 25-25 with 1:51 remaining in the fourth quarter. The crowd in London loves kicking. The Vikings are -200 on the live line (Saints +165).
9:16 a.m.: From @BetMGM: Public teams (+70% of bets) on Sunday
— 82% of bets on Cardinals +1 at CAR
— 79% of bets on Cowboys -3 vs. WAS
— 74% of bets on Chiefs +1 at TB
— 72% of bets on Titans +3.5 at IND
— 71% of bets on Browns -1 at ATL
Public teams (+70% of bets) on Sunday at @BetMGM
82% of bets on Cardinals +1 at CAR
79% of bets on Cowboys -3 vs. WAS
74% of bets on Chiefs +1 at TB
72% of bets on Titans +3.5 at IND
71% of bets on Browns -1 at ATL— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) October 2, 2022
9:09 a.m.: Justin Jefferson takes the fly sweep and waltzes into the end zone. The Vikings lead 25-22 with a little more than four minutes remaining and are -250 on the live line (Saints +200).
9:06 a.m.: Insights from WynnBET:
The top-3 liabilities for the week are:
— Seattle Seahawks’ spread (+3, opened +6) at Detroit Lions
— Indianapolis Colts’ spread (-4, opened -3) vs. Tennessee Titans
— Houston Texans’ spread (+5½, opened +7) vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The top-3 most-bet teams on the point spread in terms of handle are:
— Indianapolis Colts (-4, opened -3) vs. Tennessee Titans
— Seattle Seahawks (+3, opened +6) at Detroit Lions
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1, opened +2½) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The top-3 most-bet teams on the point spread in terms of ticket count are:
— Dallas Cowboys (-3 (-120), opened -3) vs. Washington Commanders
— Baltimore Ravens (+3 (EV), opened +3) vs. Buffalo Bills
— Buffalo Bills (-3 (-120), opened -3) at Baltimore Ravens
The top-3 most-bet games in terms of handle across all markets (point spread, total and money line) are:
— Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1, 46)
— Buffalo Bills (-3 (-120), 50) at Baltimore Ravens
— Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-4, 42½)
8:57 a.m.: Tight end/quarterback/fantasy football god Taysom Hill barrels into the end zone to give the Saints the lead. After the two-point conversion, it’s 22-19 with 9:29 left in the fourth quarter. The Saints are -150 on the live line (Vikings +120), total 47½.
8:48 a.m.: The Vikings lead the Saints 19-14 after a Greg Joseph field goal early in the fourth quarter across the pond. The Vikings are -300 on the live line (Saints +240), total 42½.
8:46 a.m.: Here are some notable line moves this morning:
— Steelers from -3½ to -3
— Jets-Steelers total from 41½ to 41
— Panthers from Pick to -1
8:45 a.m.: Here is this morning schedule. The Vikings and Saints are playing in London.
— Titans (+175) at Colts (-4, 43, -200), 10 a.m.
— Bears (+130) at Giants (-3, 38½, -150), 10 a.m.
— Bills (-3, 50, -160) at Ravens (+140), 10 a.m.
— Chargers (-6, 45, -265) at Texans (+225), 10 a.m.
— Seahawks (+160) at Lions (-3½, 48½, -180), 10 a.m.
— Jets (+150) at Steelers (-3, 41, -170), 10 a.m.
— Jaguars (+240) at Eagles (-6½, 44, -280), 10 a.m.
— Commanders (+145) at Cowboys (-3, 41½, -165), 10 a.m.
— Browns (-1, 48½, -115) at Falcons (-105), 10 a.m.
Contact David Schoen at dschoen@reviewjournal.com or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.
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