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NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Follow the Week 1 betting action

by fanshotz

NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Follow the Week 1 betting action

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Welcome to Week 1 of the NFL season.

Top matchups include the Raiders at the Los Angeles Chargers, the Green Bay Packers at the Minnesota Vikings, the Kansas City Chiefs at the Arizona Cardinals and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Dallas Cowboys in the Sunday night game.

Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.

UPDATES

2:07 p.m.: Herbert to Horvath, and the Chargers take a 10-3 advantage with 9:34 left in the second quarter. Los Angeles is -380 on the live line (Raiders +290), total 48½.

1:54 p.m.: Raiders 3, Chargers 3, end of the first quarter. First score will be a touchdown (no +165) and will there be a made field goal in the first quarter (yes even) props cash. First-quarter winners: Raiders +½, under 10.

1:49 p.m.: FINAL: Steelers 23, Bengals 20. What an adventure this turned into for bettors. The Bengals scored on the final play of regulation but had the extra point blocked. The Steelers had a field-goal attempt in OT doink off the upright before Chris Boswell hit from 53 yards for the outright upset. The total managed to stay under 441/2.

1:45 p.m.: The Raiders answer with a field goal of their own from Daniel Carlson after a good drive. It’s tied 3-3. The Raiders are +140 on the live line (Chargers -170), total 49½.

1:38 p.m.: FINAL: Colts 20, Texans 20. Tough break for Texas money-line bettors, who appeared safe entering the fourth quarter. The Colts missed a field goal in OT for the straight-up win and didn’t cover as 7-point favorites. The total also stayed under.

1:34 p.m.: The Chargers strike first and lead the Raiders 3-0. Los Angeles is -210 on the live line (Raiders +170), total 49½.

1:24 p.m.: FINAL: Commanders 28, Jaguars 22. Washington rallied from an eight-point deficit in the fourth quarter to cover the -3. The total also went over with the Commanders’ late offensive surge.

1:22 p.m.: Here are the props we’ll be tracking for this afternoon’s Raiders-Chargers game:

Team totals: Raiders 23½ (over -130), Chargers 27½ (over -130).

Alternate point spreads: Raiders -3½ (+250), +10½ (-240); Chargers +3½ (-300), -101/2 (+200).

General props: First score will be a touchdown (yes -185/no +165); largest lead 14½ points (under -120); longest TD 43½ yards; will there be a made field goal in the first quarter (yes even/no -120); will the game go to overtime (yes +1,000/no -2,000); will there be a defensive or special teams TD (yes +260/no -310); will there be a successful 2-point conversion (yes +290/no -350); will both teams make 33-yard or longer field goals (yes even/no -120); will there be a lead change in the fourth quarter (yes +260/no -310); will either team score three straight times (yes -190/no +170); will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half (yes -380/no +320); will the game be tied again after 0-0 (yes +110/no -130).

Raiders props: Derek Carr 24½ completions (over -125), 36½ attempts, 264½ passing yards, longest completion 37½ yards, 1½ TD passes (over -130), will throw an interception (yes/no -110); Josh Jacobs 49½ rushing yards; Davante Adams 78½ receiving yards, 6½ receptions, will score a TD (yes +110/no -130); Hunter Renfrow 49½ receiving yards; Darren Waller 491/2 receiving yards; Daniel Carlson 61/2 kicking points (under -120).

Chargers props: Justin Herbert 25½ completions, 36½ attempts, 280½ passing yards, longest completion 37½ yards, 21/2 TD passes (under -200), will throw an interception (yes/no -110); Austin Ekeler 96½ rushing+receiving yards; Keenan Allen 65½ receiving yards, will score a TD (yes +145/no -165); Mike Williams 59½ receiving yards; Dustin Hopkins 71/2 kicking points (under -125).

1:21 p.m.: FINAL: Eagles 38, Lions 35. The Eagles nearly let a 17-point lead slip away and allow the Lions to cover as 51/2-point underdogs. The total easily went over.

1:16 p.m.: FINAL: Browns 26, Panthers 24. Cade York banged home a 58-yard field goal with 8 seconds remaining for the Browns, who closed as 1-point underdogs. The late flurry of scoring sent the total over.

1:11 p.m.: FINAL: Saints 27, Falcons 26. The Saints kicked a late field goal for the straight-up win and blocked an attempt at the end of regulation. But the Falcons cover +5½. The total went over.

1:09 p.m.: Chaos in the early games. Steelers-Bengals are headed to overtime. Colts-Texans are already in the extra session. And the Eagles are no longer covering against the Lions late in the fourth quarter.

1:08 p.m.: FINAL: Ravens 24, Jets 9. Give Lamar Jackson a contract extension. The Ravens covered as 6½-point favorites and the game stayed under the total of 44.

1:05 p.m.: FINAL: Bears 19, 49ers 10. The Bears answered the challenge in the second half and get the outright win as 6½-point favorites. The wet turf at Soldier Field helped the total stay under.

12:53 p.m.: FINAL: Dolphins 20, Patriots 7. The Dolphins cover as 3-point favorites, while the total of 46½ was never threatened.

12:50 p.m.: Here is this afternoon’s schedule:

Chiefs (-6½, 54, -260) at Cardinals (+220), 1:25 p.m.

Raiders (+160) at Chargers (-3½, 52, -180), 1:25 p.m.

Packers (+110) at Vikings (-2, 47, -130), 1:25 p.m.

Giants (+210) at Titans (-5½, 44, -250), 1:25 p.m.

Buccaneers (-2½, 50½, -140) at Cowboys (+120), 5:20 p.m.

12:38 p.m.: There are upsets brewing all over, including in Chicago where the Bears cashed in on a turnover and lead the 49ers 19-10 with 7:21 remaining in the fourth quarter after the extra point was missed. The Bears are -1800 on the live line (49ers +900), total 34½.

12:30 p.m.: The Baker Mayfield hate was a tad premature. His rushing touchdown early in the fourth quarter cut the Browns lead to 20-14. The Panthers are +290 on the live line (Browns -380), total 43½.

12:14 p.m.: Baker Mayfield does not appear to be the answer at quarterback in Carolina. The Browns lead 20-7 late in the third quarter and are -1600 on the live line (Panthers +850), total 40½.

12:05 p.m.: So much for that earlier comment about the Lions looking good. Kenneth Gainwell’s rushing touchdown put the Eagles on top 31-14 with 10:21 left in the third quarter. This looks like it will sail over the pregame closing total of 48½. The Eagles are -5000 on the live line (Lions +1600), total 65½.

11:57 a.m.: O.J. Howard burns the Colts for his second touchdown of the day, and the Texans are rolling. They lead 20-3 midway through the third quarter and are -700 on the live line (Colts +475), total 39½.

11:47 a.m: Second-half line: Jaguars -110, total 21½

11:47 a.m.: Second-half line: Panthers -3, total 21

11:47 a.m.: Second -half line: Eagles -1, total 23½

11:43 a.m.: HALFTIME: Browns 17, Panthers 7. First-half winners: Browns +½, over 20.

11:42 a.m.: HALFTIME: Eagles 24, Lions 14. First-half winners: Eagles -3½, over 24.

11:41 a.m.: Second-half line: 49ers -3, total 17.

11:38 a.m.: HALFTIME: Commanders 14, Jaguars 3. First-half winners: Commanders -1, under 21. Jacksonville dropped a likely touchdown at the 1-yard line with 4:59 left in the second quarter that would have covered the over.

11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Saints -5, total 21.

11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Ravens -3, total 20.

11:34 a.m.: HALFTIME: Ravens 10, Jets 3. First-half winners: Ravens -3½, under 21½.

11:33 a.m.: HALFTIME: 49ers 7, Bears 0. First-half winners: 49ers -3½, under 17½.

11:32 a.m.: HALFTIME: Falcons 16, Saints 7. First-half winners: Falcons +3, over 21½. Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo made a 40-yard field goal as time expired in the second quarter to cover the over.

11:28 a.m.: Second-half line: Patriots -½, total 23.

11:28 a.m.: Second-half line: Bengals -6, total 22½.

11:28 a.m.: Second-half line: Colts -6, total 23.

11:24 a.m.: HALFTIME: Steelers 17, Bengals 6. First-half winners: Steelers +4, over 22½. The Bengals kicked a field goal with 14 seconds remaining to send the score over the total.

11:22 a.m.: HALFTIME: Dolphins 17, Patriots 0. First-half winners: Dolphins -2½, under 24.

11:20 a.m.: HALFTIME: Texans 10, Colts 3. First-half winners: Texans +4, under 23.

10:56 a.m.: Mitchell Trubisky looks … good? He is 7-for-9 and found running back Najee Harris for a short touchdown to put the Steelers up 17-3 over the Bengals with 8:47 left in the second quarter. The Steelers entered as 7-point underdogs but are -260 on the live line (Bengals +210), total 49½.

10:45 a.m.: Jalen Hurts fantasy football owners are pleased. The Eagles QB scores on a 1-yard run on fourth down, and it’s tied 7-7 in Detroit. Philadelphia is -220 on the live line (Lions +180), total 50½.

10:36 a.m.: Soldier Field is a swimming pool. Bears QB Justin Fields looks like he’s on a slip-and-slide in the front yard of his neighbor’s house. No scoring yet in Chicago, but the 49ers are -350 on the live line (Bears +270). The total has plunged to 31½.

10:30 a.m.: The Lions were a sexy pick with bettors to go over their season win total, probably because of “Hard Knocks.” But they look good so far. Detroit leads the favored Eagles 7-0 with 5:51 left in the first quarter and are +110 on the live line (Eagles -140), total 49½.

10:10 a.m.: Rough start for Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who gets sacked and then throws a pick-six. The Steelers lead Cincinnati 7-0 with 12:33 left in the first quarter. The Bengals are -190 favorites on the live line (Steelers +155), total 50½.

10:04 a.m.: Bettors showed faith in quarterback Baker Mayfield against his former club, as the Panthers closed as 1½-point favorites at the Westgate SuperBook over the Browns after the line bounced around all week. Also, the Eagles climbed to -6 favorites against the host Lions at kickoff.

9:50 a.m.: BetMGM reported two six-figure wagers on today’s games:

— $100,000 on Saints -225

— $125,000 on Lions +5.5 (-110)

Caesars Sportsbook reported one bettor put $120,000 on the Steelers +7 (-105)

9:05 a.m.: Here are some notable line moves this morning:

Vikings from -1 to -2

Panthers from Pick to -1

Dolphins from 3½ to 3 (-120)

49ers-Bears total from 40 to 38 (wet field)

Colts-Texans total from 45½ to 46

Jaguars-Commanders total from 44 to 43

9:00 a.m.: Here is this morning schedule:

Ravens (-6½, 44, -310) at Jets (+260), 10 a.m.

Saints (-5½, 44, -240) at Falcons (+200), 10 a.m.

Patriots (+145) at Dolphins (-3, 46½, -165), 10 a.m.

Browns (Even) at Panthers (-1, 42, -120), 10 a.m.

Steelers (+260) at Bengals (-7, 44½, -310), 10 a.m.

49ers (-6½, 38, -290) at Bears (+245), 10 a.m.

Eagles (-5½, 48½, -240) at Lions (+200), 10 a.m.

Colts (-7, 46, -330) at Texans (+270), 10 a.m.

Jaguars (+135) at Commanders (-3, 43, -155), 10 a.m.

Contact David Schoen at dschoen@reviewjournal.com or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.



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